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Atheism in the eyes of serious minds

This is a letter to you, and the first thing in it is a criticism of my own people, not of you.

In its first half I shall say that the picture my people have drawn of you is false, and that its falsity is not a wrong done to you alone but is, before anything else, their own loss. In its second half I shall say that a widespread picture of atheism is not atheism either, that my real opponent in this matter is harder than what is read under his name today, and nobler than him in how he disputes.

And if that picture is not yours, skip the second half; you are not obliged to defend what you do not hold, and I am not setting up a door here to blame whoever did not walk through it.

First: a picture we hold of you, and not a letter of it stands

It is said among us that the atheist is ignorant, or a man of appetite who wanted to be free of restraint, or a man with a grudge against his own family. Three descriptions, said in gatherings and said to be known.

And I do not push them away from you out of charity. I push the first of them away because it can be tested, and it fails. Religious and denominational groups in the United States were surveyed in 2010 on questions about the religions — on scriptures, on schools of thought, on the rulings of religious practice — and the group that scored highest was atheists and agnostics [pew-2010-religious-knowledge].

And I do not bring this forward as evidence that the atheist knows my religion better than I do. The survey was in one country, its measure was a quiz of thirty-two questions, the effect of years of schooling is not isolated in it, and those surveyed are not the people I am addressing: most of the questions are about Christianity and the major religions, and Islam has a bare handful in them.

And it may be said to me: this is not what the preacher means when he says 'ignorant'; he means 'the truth has not reached him'. And he is right in that objection. So I narrow my claim until it becomes a single claim: the one form of the charge that admits of being counted has been counted where counting was possible, and it did not stand. And what remains of it cannot be counted at all — so it ought not to be said in the language of knowledge.

As for 'appetite' and 'grudge', these are not claims at all. They are a reading of intention — and I do not possess your intention, nor does anyone. Whoever claims to know why you left without sitting with you has claimed knowledge of the unseen in a human soul, and that is graver than what he throws at you.

Then this picture has a cost, and the cost falls on the one who says it and not on you, and it is the cost that concerns me: a man who believes his opponent a fool has not prepared for him. He who believes it sits down with someone who has spent ten years on the matter, brings out against him what he picked up in an evening, and is broken in half an hour — and then he does not say 'I fell short', he says 'the doubt is dangerous' and flees the whole subject.

Belittling your opponent is training for a fight with a shadow.

And the strongest thing that pulls this picture down is that on your side are men who spent their lives on this question alone. Graham Oppy went over the most famous arguments for God's existence, critically, in a single scholarly volume [oppy-2006-arguing-gods]. John Mackie wrote a book on ethics that is still taught some fifty years on [mackie-1977-ethics]. William Rowe gave the problem of evil an evidential formulation that changed the field [rowe-1979-varieties]. And Paul Draper built a comparative argument on pain and pleasure that is taught in philosophy departments [draper-1989-pain-pleasure].

And most of what I have come across of our replies to them was not directed at these books, but at summaries of them. That is a heavy sentence, and I say it knowing its weight. And it is testimony about what I have seen, not a census of what has been written; so whoever shows me an Arabic reply that engaged the book in its own place, I withdraw to the measure of what he shows me.

Second: and a picture of atheism, which I pull down as I pulled down my own

Now it is the other side's turn.

Most of what reaches the Arabic reader of atheism today is a single picture: Dawkins and those who ran with him — and I say it as an observation, not a census; so if you have read otherwise then you were past this whole paragraph before it began, and you may skip it. They are eloquent books, widely read. But what I want to put before you is that the objection to them did not come from my side alone.

Thomas Nagel is an atheist, and one of the foremost philosophers of mind of our time. In a review published in 2006 he criticised the central argument of `The God Delusion`, showing that it rests on the assumption that any designing cause must be as complex as the thing it designed — an assumption the believer does not grant in the first place, since the God he believes in is a simple mind and not something assembled out of parts [nagel-2006-fear-of-religion].

And Nagel is not a neutral witness, and I know that. He is an outlier on his own side, and in that same review he says that he does not want the universe to be as naturalism has it, and what he wrote afterwards in `Mind and Cosmos` was answered by his own side before mine [nagel-2012-mind-cosmos]. So choosing him as a witness is a choice of mine, and I declare it.

And Erik Wielenberg is another atheist, who built a complete ethical theory with no God in it [wielenberg-2014-robust], and then gave a peer-reviewed paper over to arguing that Dawkins's argument does not succeed [wielenberg-2009-dawkins-gambit]. And his paper appeared in `Philosophia Christi`, a peer-reviewed journal of Christian orientation. I say so because it is the sort of thing one gets asked about, and because what I am asking of you is that you ask.

And both witnesses are on one argument in one book. So I draw from them no general verdict on a class of books; two criticisms of one passage do not carry a judgement on a library. What I claim is narrower: that the most famous argument in the most famous book was objected to from within that same side, at the level of the craft. So ask about the rest, and do not take from me that the rest is like it.

And the plainest thing in all of this is Oppy's condition. The man is an atheist who went over the arguments one by one and came out at no argument succeeding in either direction — and success, on his account, is to compel a reasonable opponent to grant the conclusion, and that has happened for no one [oppy-2006-arguing-gods].

And this condition cuts on my side before it cuts on yours. If there is no argument that compels, then I hold no argument that compels you. So whoever takes Oppy's condition is bound to come down a notch or two in his language — and I am the first bound by it, and I do not say it against you while exempting myself. Then Oppy himself is an avowed naturalist, who weighs naturalism above theism by the measure of the theoretical virtues — economy of ontology and power of explanation [oppy-2013-best-argument]. So the parity of the arguments on his view is not a parity of the two positions, and the man whose fairness I cite is not in my ranks. And I take his condition from him and do not take his conclusion, and I am telling you that this is what I am doing.

And I do not bring this forward to take from you a book you loved. Popular books do well what academic books do not: they open the door, they take the question out of a closed precinct, and they write in a language that gets read. But their price is that whoever stops at them reckons that the meeting which never took place has taken place and is over.

And say the same of my own side, word for word: whoever has read faith in the books of the pulpit alone has not read the strongest of it, only the most easily spread.

And here is a concession I must state in its own words rather than pass over: the names I brought forward on my side — Swinburne, van Inwagen and Adams — are three western Christian philosophers, in an Arabic letter. And you have every right to ask: where, then, is their counterpart among us? And my answer is that I cannot today put before you a contemporary Arab name who has worked on these very questions with these tools and to whom I can refer you by place and page. There may be one whom I have not reached, and there may not. Either way it is a deficiency on my side, and not an argument against you.

Third: how those who know the craft speak

And this is the point of the whole letter. Not in who speaks, but in how he speaks.

Rowe — who gave the problem of evil its most famous evidential formulation — coined in that same paper the term 'friendly atheism', and held there that the believer may be entirely rational in his belief [rowe-1979-varieties]. A man who builds the argument against me, and then writes with his own hand that I am no fool for believing.

And Draper lays it down that his argument is comparative and not refuting: the distribution of pain and pleasure is more likely on one hypothesis than on another, and this does not establish that theism is false, and it may be outweighed by other evidence [draper-1989-pain-pleasure]. The condition is written in the hand of the man who made the argument; it was not wrung out of him.

And Mackie — among the hardest of them on faith — grants in his second book that the free-will defence takes the outright logical contradiction out of the question, and then carries the dispute on from another quarter [mackie-1982-miracle].

And on my own side it is the same. Peter van Inwagen is a believer who delivered the Gifford Lectures on evil, and then said plainly that he does not know why evil occurs and is left to run, and that his aim is narrower than explanation: to show the argument to be non-compelling, not to explain evil [van-inwagen-2006-evil]. And Marilyn Adams — a believer — holds that the most famous defences fail for horrendous evils, because they address the good of the whole and not the good of the sufferer himself [m-adams-1999-horrendous]. And Swinburne — the most famous framer of the cumulative argument — enters evil into his scale as evidence against theism and grants that it lowers the probability, and then comes out with theism as the likelier of the two on the sum of the evidence: a weighting and not a certainty, with no number set to it [swinburne-2004-existence].

All of these speak in the language of weighting and not settlement. And each of them knows where his own argument is weak, and says it before his opponent says it.

And in a survey of the views of academic philosophers conducted in 2009 and published in 2014, atheism was the view of the majority by a wide margin, and theism about a seventh of the respondents [bourget-chalmers-2014-survey]. And this establishes nothing about the question itself: the view of the majority is not evidence, and the sample was from English-language departments.

And it is this manner — not this result — that I am asking for in this book.

Fourth: a dispute whose two sides never met

And the truest thing I know about the debate now running in Arabic I say as an observation and not a census: most of it runs between two men, neither of whom has read a single book by his opponent.

The preacher answers a post. The atheist answers a preacher. And if you look into the two answers you find them both right — because each is in fact answering what reached him. Only, what reached him was nobody. And neither of them is addressing the other at all; each addresses his own audience and takes it for an arena.

And something worse than this has happened on our part. It is passed around among us that Mackie concedes that objective morality stands in need of a God. And the report has a source I do not deny: Mackie wrote in his own hand that objective values, if they existed, would make the existence of a god likelier than it would be without them [mackie-1982-miracle]. But it is a condition put forward by a man who denies what it is conditional upon: his thesis is that objective values do not exist, and that is the argument from queerness on which he built his book on ethics [mackie-1977-ethics].

So we took a premise he wrote in order to demolish it, stripped the 'if' from it, and made of it his testimony for us. And this is exactly the difference between reading a man in his own place and reading him in the summary of one transmitter after another.

And I apologise for this one.

And it only became possible because the dispute among us is conducted in conclusions and not in places. The summary is passed on stripped of its condition, then it is passed on from the one who passed it, and then a weapon is made of it. And an argument is not read in its summary; its condition is in its premise, and the premise is read nowhere but in its own place.

Fifth: the question itself

I said that between you and me there is a question that deserves that we meet upon it by names and evidence and places. And a letter that says this and does not name the question is a deficient letter. So here is one entire, and I bring it because it is the heaviest thing on me, not because it is the easiest for me to answer:

Evil. And not in its pulpit form, but in two definite formulations:

The first — Rowe's formulation (1979). There are severe sufferings, such as a fawn that burns in a forest fire and lingers for days, which a being both able and knowing could have prevented without thereby losing a greater good or permitting an evil as bad or worse. And if a single one of these exists, then there is no God of the description we know [rowe-1979-varieties].

The second — Draper's formulation (1989), and to me it is the heavier. Draper does not claim that evil refutes theism; he rather compares two hypotheses: the distribution of pain and pleasure in the living world — its being tied to survival and reproduction, and its falling upon creatures that have no morality — is likelier to occur on the hypothesis of indifference than on theism [draper-1989-pain-pleasure]. And its weight is that it is not answered by what answers the first.

The familiar answer among us is that our minds are too narrow to judge that a greater good does not exist. And it is an answer with something to it, and van Inwagen stated plainly that his aim was to show that the argument does not succeed as a proof, not to say why evil occurred [van-inwagen-2006-evil].

And this answer has a price I ought to pay in the open, in two places:

The first of them is that it is a two-edged sword: whoever says 'I do not know what the hidden good is' has weakened his own capacity to argue from any good he does see. And this is a structural flaw in the answer, not a passing objection.

And the second of them is that it does not touch Draper's formulation at all: the comparison between two hypotheses stands even where we are ignorant of the details, because it does not claim to know them.

And the truest saying of this comes from a believer on my own side: Marilyn Adams holds that greater-good defences fail for horrendous evils, because they address the balance of the world and not the condition of the sufferer himself [m-adams-1999-horrendous].

So this is the question. Its name, its author, its year, its place, and where it is weak for me rather than for you. And if you want us to meet, then here is the place — not in 'is the universe an accident' and not in 'who created the Creator'.

Sixth: and what would move me

You asked — or you have the right to ask — what is in my own scale against me. And it is a question I have not answered in this letter, so I answer it:

First: I may be the one who is wrong. I say it not as a courtesy but because Oppy's condition, which I took, obliges me to it: whoever says that no argument compels has said it against himself first.

And second, what would move me on the question I have named: were it to become clear to me that Draper's formulation still holds the weight after everything I count on the other side has been weighed with it, and I found no difference in the balance of probability to lean on, I should be obliged to say so and obliged to bear what follows from it. And I do not promise you that this will happen; I promise you that it is the thing I look into, and that it is the place in myself that I fear, and that I know I fear it.

And third, if you read everything I ask, and sit with the manner I have described, and then remain where you are — then I have nothing owing from you. I bind you to no consequence, I attach no verdict to your position in these pages, and I do not claim to know what your case will come to. This is the limit of what I hold, and I do not go beyond it because I do not hold more.

And the limit of this letter

And this is a letter, not a proof.

I have proved nothing to you in these pages, nor tried to. That there are great philosophers among the atheists does not make atheism right, exactly as there being great philosophers among the believers does not make faith right. Men do not make arguments correct. And I intended this limit; I did not fall into it by oversight.

And a second limit, heavier, and it lies in the letter itself. I said a moment ago that each addresses his own audience and takes it for an arena, and this description holds of these pages: they are written in the second person to you, and published in a book that my own people will read before anyone else reads it. So your share of it may be to be a witness in an internal quarrel rather than the one addressed. And I do not know how to get out of this completely while I write where I write. And the least I can do is to say it to you and not leave you to discover it.

And everything I claim after that is narrower: that between you and me there is one question, which I have named in this letter with its place, and that what goes on today is not it. And that whoever comes at you with the three descriptions has lost you before he opens his mouth.

So if you sit one day with one of us who says 'I do not know' where it belongs, and reckons the evidence that tells against him in his own scale with his own hand, and does not ask you about your intention — then know that he has read his opponent. And if I sit with one of you who knows that his argument is a weighting and not a settlement, and knows where it stumbled — then he too has read his opponent.

And between those two there occurs speech that deserves to be called speech. And the rest of what we see is two men shouting in opposite directions, each supposing that the other has heard him.